June 25 (Reuters) – A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
The wave of profit-taking in U.S. Big Tech and AI stocks appears
to be gathering momentum, which could depress investor sentiment
and risk appetite in Asia on Tuesday even if it is offset by a
rotation into cheaper, beaten down sectors.
The Dow’s rise to a one-month high on Monday as the Nasdaq
declined for a third day will be well-received, of course. But
ahead of U.S. inflation figures on Friday, which is also the
last trading day of the quarter, caution may prevail.
Otherwise, the macroeconomic backdrop to the start of the
week seems fairly supportive for Asian and emerging markets –
Treasury yields edged lower on Monday and the dollar had its
biggest fall in nearly two weeks.
Tuesday’s regional economic calendar is light, with the
highlights being consumer price inflation from Malaysia, service
sector producer prices from Japan, the latest measures of
consumer confidence in South Korea and Australia, and trade
figures from Hong Kong.
The market tone across Asia on Tuesday could be set by the
tempest brewing in tech. Nvidia shares slumped 6.7% on Monday,
bringing their decline in the last three days to 16%, and
weighing heavily on semiconductor and tech shares more broadly.
Taiwan’s benchmark index lost nearly 2% on Monday, its
biggest fall in two months, and blue chip issue Taiwan
Semiconductor Manufacturing Co lost more than 3%. And that was
before Nvidia’s slump on Tuesday.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Tech index scraped a two-month low on
Monday before recovering most of these losses to end down only
0.6%. Again, the weakness in U.S. tech and semiconductor stocks
on Monday – especially the accelerated selloff at the close –
doesn’t bode well for the sector in Asia on Tuesday.
Back in the macro world, minutes of the Bank of Japan’s last
meeting on Monday showed that Japanese policymakers discussed a
near-term interest rate hike, with one calling for an increase
“without too much delay” to help get inflation back down.
Currency traders, however, seem unimpressed. The yen appreciated
a bit on Monday but only marginally, and it remains within
touching distance of the 160 per dollar level that recently
pushed Japanese authorities to spend billions of dollars in
yen-buying intervention.
The next big inflation number from Japan will be Tokyo consumer
price inflation on Friday. This is usually seen as a good
barometer of nationwide price pressures, and with the yen so
weak and oil prices up 12% in the last three weeks, officials
may be getting twitchy.
Annual inflation in Malaysia, meanwhile, is expected to have
accelerated slightly to 1.9% in May from 1.8% in April,
according to a Reuters poll of economists.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Tuesday:
– Japan services PPI (May)
– Malaysia CPI (May)
– Australia consumer sentiment (June)
(Reporting by Jamie McGeever; Editing by Josie Kao)